Championship hunts to come down to the wire....

Discussion in 'Pit Buzz' started by Will Hanna, Sep 27, 2005.

  1. Will Hanna

    Will Hanna We put the 'inside' in Top Alcohol
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2003
    Messages:
    6,706
    Likes Received:
    133
    TAD

    Once again we go into the end of the year in a three-way struggle for the title, with all three contenders having very real chances. Federlin has the lead and one national and divisional left to claim to add to his total. He really needs to win out, or at least win and r/u to hold off the hard-charging Conway/Torrence team. Randy Meyer is sitting back in third with two national events left to claim. If he wins out, which is a very real possibility, he could take the lead, but needs to stop Torrence in the process. Torrence hasn't lost a round of competition at a national event, but still has two full races to claim before he hits the five race mark. With that being said, there is only three nationals left.

    Advantage Torrence.

    By the numbers:
    1. Federlin 698 7/7 (can replace 43 pt div and 53 pt nat. max points potential with nat and div win - 772)
    2. Torrence 649 3/7 (full points at two more nationals, can replace 64 pts div)
    3. Meyer 632 6/8 (can replace 2 42pt nationals. max point potential with two national wins - 718)

    This weekend could very well decide the title race - Federlin, Torrence and Meyer will all be in attendance. If Torrence wins, it's not officially over, but for all intensive purposes it is. All he would have to do is qualify at another national to clinch. Meyer really needs to keep Torrence out of the finals and win to keep his hopes alive. However one interesting scenario is Federlin beating Torrence in the finals in Chicago. If he did that and won his final divisional at Medford, Ore., it would make Torrence have to make the final in either Dallas or Pomona to catch him. All eyes on Chicago...

    TAFC

    It looks like Manzo has to win at the final divisional race, I'm assuming Atco, and keep Newb from going to the finals at any of the 3 remaining divisionals he can claim.

    Advantage Newberry. Whatever Ace changed in the chassis department really seems to be working on the national level, but hasn't shown the same dominance on the divisional level.

    By the numbers:

    1. Newberry 745 8/5 (Final round at any of 3 more divisionals can clinch it)
    2. Manzo 725 8/7 (Has 43 pt div can improve on. Max point potential 762)
     
    #1
    Will Hanna, Sep 27, 2005
  2. Brad L

    Brad L Member

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2005
    Messages:
    103
    Likes Received:
    1
    With 43 points to improve on, a home division win at Atco would give Manzo a max point potential of 767 (725 + 85 - 43 = 767), meaning: Manzo has to win Atco (767 pts) and keep Newb from winning out-of-division (766 pts with Atco runner-up) OR runner-up at Atco (746 pts) and keep Newb from getting to the final round (745 pts) at any of three division races. So Newberry is in the driver's seat, but Manzo has a decent shot.

    Also, Steve Gasparrelli still has a shot with a max points potential of 803. That total is harder to come by since it spans five races: his next three national events (Chicago, Dallas, Pomona), an out-of-division race, and the Las Vegas divisional. Those races will have to result in five wins (803) if Newb wins Atco (787) or Atco plus an out-of-division race (tie 803), four wins and a runner-up if Newb wins out-of division (tie 782), or four wins and a nat'l semi (771) if Manzo wins Atco (767) and Newb fails to win o.o.d. I won't go into the "Manzo staying ahead of Newb with a runner-up at Atco" scenarios at this time.

    The last time an alcohol points chase has been this exciting towards the end of the year is when three TAD's had a shot coming into the final div. race in '97 (Phoenix) and Santos beat Bobby Taylor in the final to win it.

    [ September 27, 2005, 02:46 PM: Message edited by: Brad L ]
     
    #2
    Brad L, Sep 27, 2005
  3. Barry H

    Barry H Member

    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2004
    Messages:
    43
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ouch, My head hurts!
     
    #3
    Barry H, Sep 27, 2005
  4. Will Hanna

    Will Hanna We put the 'inside' in Top Alcohol
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2003
    Messages:
    6,706
    Likes Received:
    133
    correct me if i'm wrong, but isn't atco a 'wild card' event, meaning manzo would only win 80 points opposed to 85?
     
    #4
    Will Hanna, Sep 27, 2005
  5. Brad L

    Brad L Member

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2005
    Messages:
    103
    Likes Received:
    1
    I don't believe it is since the only Division 1 race that's noted as being a wild card on the schedule is Delmar.
     
    #5
    Brad L, Sep 27, 2005
  6. D. Palmer

    D. Palmer TA/FC

    Joined:
    Jun 14, 2004
    Messages:
    97
    Likes Received:
    0
    Will, Atco used to be a "wild card race" when they still contested the alcohol classes at Del-Mar, this is the second year it will be a regular div. race. Should be fun!
     
    #6
    D. Palmer, Sep 27, 2005
  7. The Zone

    The Zone Member

    Joined:
    Sep 14, 2003
    Messages:
    683
    Likes Received:
    1
    Federlin is not running the race part of Joliet. He is running the Jegs only. His last Nat'l will be Pomona. His last div will likely be Medford

    Dean
     
    #7
    The Zone, Sep 27, 2005
  8. Frankie

    Frankie Jr. Dragster

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2003
    Messages:
    450
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ya gotta love alcohol racing in the fall. Always interesting and very nerve racking for those involved. Good luck to all those in contention
     
    #8
    Frankie, Sep 28, 2005

Share This Page





XenPorta 2 PRO © Jason Axelrod from 8WAYRUN.COM